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- W2022070185 abstract "This paper focuses on the Dirichlet and the Dirichlet-multinomial distributions to analyze one definition of the cycle based on three economic performance regimens: augmentation, stagnation and diminution. We use data from 142 economies grouped in seven clusters during the second half of the last century, a period which has witnessed various structural changes. Furthermore, this paper advances to investigate what the probabilities are of reaching significant positive growth rates – the frequency of the augmentation regimen – which prevailed during the decade from 1950 to 1960, using Bayesian statistics. Este articulo se enfoca en las distribuciones Dirichlet y Dirichlet-multinomial para analizar una definicion de ciclo basada en tres regimenes de desempeno economico: incremento, estancamiento y decrecimiento. Empleamos datos del producto interno bruto per capita 142 economias agrupadas en siete clusters, correspondientes al periodo 1950-2000, el cual ha sido testigo de diferentes cambios estructurales. Asimismo, se investiga cual es la probabilidad de que se presenten las frecuencias de las tasas de crecimiento positivas significativas –frecuencias del regimen de incremento- observadas en los anos cincuenta, gracias al uso de estadistica bayesiana." @default.
- W2022070185 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2022070185 creator A5091118830 @default.
- W2022070185 date "2010-01-01" @default.
- W2022070185 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
- W2022070185 title "Heterogeneous growth cycles/Ciclos de crecimiento heterogéneo" @default.
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