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- W2022199848 abstract "THE term residual relationship is intended to cover those cases where, in a statistical classification, the item upon which attention is focused represents a relatively small amount left over after some other item is subtracted from the total. In many instances, though not always, the residual items represent concepts which are negative in character. Typical negative residual concepts are illiteracy, inability to speak English, and unemployment; a residual concept which is not negative is that of the number of migrants obtained by computing the survivors from one census in a given area and comparing them with the actual count at the next census. Illiteracy. Let us consider further the first example mentioned. An illiterate person is defined as one who is not able to read and write. The whole number of illiterates is therefore what remains after the number of persons returned as being able to read and write is subtracted from the total population-both counts being limited in census practice to persons 10 years old and over. A typical percentage of literacy, that is, of persons 10 years old and over who are able to read and write, is about 98.8; this leaves 1.2 as the percentage of illiteracy, or 12 illiterate persons in each 1,000 of the population. Obviously, if 6 more persons in each 1,000 should learn to read and write, the effect on the percentage of literacy would be slight, simply bringing it a bit closer to the 100 per cent which it already approximates. But the subtraction of 6 persons from the illiterate group reduces that percentage by one-half, or from 1.2 to 0.6. Again, suppose that in preparing the census schedules for tabulation it were discovered that for an occasional person there was no answer to the question as to whether able to read and write; and suppose, further, that it were proposed to count these blanks, or failures to reply, as negative answers. (One might question the wisdom of such a procedure, but there would be in its favor at least the argument that a person who did not know how to read and write would be much more likely to decline or neglect to answer this question than one who did.) Let us assume that for the first 1,000 persons reported in a given area the answers to the literacy question comprise 975 Yes's, 12 No's, and" @default.
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- W2022199848 date "1938-06-01" @default.
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- W2022199848 title "Residual Relationships and Velocity of Change as Pitfalls in the Field of Statistical Forecasting" @default.
- W2022199848 doi "https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1938.10503536" @default.
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