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• W2022250798 abstract "Introduction Over the past 15 years Canada has exported over 13 Tcf [13.6 EJ (exajoules)] of natural gas to the United States but gas exports have been running considerably below authorized levels since 1979. If U.S. gas demand increases, with little change in the gas reserves-to-production ratio (Fig. 1), exports of Canadian gas will probably regain and surpass their earlier levels. The compatibility of gas export pricing rules with those for gas consumed domestically will continue to challenge Canadian government policy. Canadian Gas Reserves Remaining non-frontier established Canadian gas reserves at the end of 1982 were about 84 EJ. National Energy Board procedure limits remaining reserves to those with demonstrated viable delivery systems. Very significant quantities of tight gas (in place) (as high as 400 EJ) are known to exist in the Deep Basin of western Canada. They are also excluded even though a portion may be contiguous to conventional, producible, gas reserves. An improved market situation, in terms of both price and volume as U.S. requirements for Canadian gas accelerate, should elicit 44 to 50 EJ of conventional gas in the next 15years with an expected concentration in the late 19805 and early 1990s. Table 1 breaks out total reserves of gas. Frontier resources are expected to be drawn on as the more accessible non-frontier reserves are depleted. Canada's combined ultimate potential may be as much as 6 times greater than currently established non-frontier reserves of 84 EJ. Domestic Natural Gas Consumption Figure 2 projects trends in Canadian oil, natural gas and electricity shares of secondary energy demand (i.e. energy commodities sought by energy users for consumption as energy by them) to the year 2000. Total annual energy demand growth is expected to continue slower than growth of Real Domestic Product over the balance of this decade as conservation measures contribute to further decline in the energy-output ratio. By the 19905, the effects of the price shocks of the early 19805 should have been absorbed. Barring further major price disruptions, energy demand will begin to track output growth more closely. Both natural gas and electricity shares of the Canadian energy market will almost certainly increase. Most of the increase in the gas portion will come from the penetration of new markets-in Quebec, if the Trans Quebec and Maritimes Pipeline makes natural gas available to regions east of Montreal; in Saskatchewan, due to expansion of the distribution system in rural areas; in the Maritime Provinces, as Sable Island gas comes on stream; and in British Columbia, through possible extension of the natural gas pipeline system to Vancouver Island. By the year 2000, natural gas is anticipated to supply about one-third of the needs of the Canadian energy market compared with 27.5 per cent in 1983 and 20 per cent in 1970. Domestic gas requirements will then be about 2.8 EJ, compared with the current level of about 1.8 EJ." @default.
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• W2022250798 date "1984-11-01" @default.
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• W2022250798 title "Canadian Natural Gas Export Policies And Prospects" @default.
• W2022250798 doi "https://doi.org/10.2118/84-06-04" @default.
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