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- W2024357715 abstract "The behavior of subjects during the solution of probalistic inference tasks is compared with Baye's theorem, which represents an optimal model for the change in prior probability of hypotheses under the influence of new information. The results of laboratory studies have shown that in narrow inferential tasks subjects are less sensitive to a change in prior probability of modal hypothesis (they are conservative). On the contrary, in wide inferential tasks there is a tendency to overestimate the probability of the system of modal hypotheses (they are radical). The conservatism and radicalism reflect a limitation on human ability to process and store information." @default.
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- W2024357715 title "Psychological characteristics of probabilistic inference" @default.
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- W2024357715 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/0001-6918(70)90041-7" @default.
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