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- W2028848082 abstract "Recent research on sexual mixing in populations of sub-Saharan Africa raises the question as to whether STDs can persist in these populations without the presence of a core group. A mathematical model is constructed for the spread of gonorrhea among the Ariaal population of Northern Kenya. A formula for the basic reproduction number R(0) (the expected number of secondary infections caused by a single new infective introduced into a susceptible population) is determined for this population in the absence of a core group. Survey data taken in 2003 on sexual behavior from the Ariaal population are used in the model which is formulated for their age-set system including four subpopulations: single and married, female and male. Parameters derived from the data, and other information from sub-Saharan Africa are used to estimate R(0). Results indicate that, even with the elevating effect of the age-set system, the disease should die out since R(0) < 1. Thus, the persistence of gonorrhea in the population must be due to factors not included in the model, for example, a core group of commercial sex workers or concurrent partnerships." @default.
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- W2028848082 date "2005-01-01" @default.
- W2028848082 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
- W2028848082 title "Implication of Ariaal sexual mixing on gonorrhea" @default.
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- W2028848082 doi "https://doi.org/10.1002/ajhb.20123" @default.
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