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- W2034216787 abstract "Abstract For two decades, the Central and Eastern European party politics has been characterized by the widespread inability of parties to secure stable political support (reflected in high levels of electoral volatility) to allow their presence in government for consecutive terms. This paper investigates the factors that trigger support for incumbent parties in post-communist countries. In doing so, it examines the effect of individual evaluations at the systemic level (i.e. satisfaction with democracy, government activity), partisan attachment (i.e. preference), and objective indicators of individual economic success (i.e. the level of income) on the vote for incumbents. This cross-national analysis is conducted at the individual-level in six post-communist countries chosen on the basis of the most similar system design. The study uses data from election surveys at two different moments in time (mid-1990s and the first elections of the 2000s) and combines bivariate and multivariate statistical analyses. The results indicate that partisanship and positive evaluations of the government explain most of the vote for incumbents. Apart from these visible patterns, there are some other valuable results in specific countries understandable solely within the larger domestic political context. Keywords: incumbentselectoral supportpolitical partiespost-communist countries Acknowledgements The author would like to thank Eric Uslaner, Kenneth Newton, Tom van der Meer, Philipp Reichert, and the anonymous reviewers of this journal for their valuable comments, constructive criticism, and suggestions on earlier versions of the article. The author is also grateful to the Netherlands Institute of Government for the support provided in conducting my research and publishing its results. Notes Most of these countries had multi-party competition in the inter-war period. The reason I do not emphasize these categories is that they are more useful at the conceptual level than in empirical terms. There are visible overlaps between them in individual evaluations, one example is provided in the sub-section about satisfaction with democracy. Hungary has only one Chamber and a mixed electoral system that combines proportional representation on lists with single member districts. The question in this case referred to the vote for party lists. The Social-Democratic Party was in government in 1992–1996 and 2000–2004 with different labels: the Party of Social Democracy in Romania (PDSR) and the Social-Democratic Party (PSD) following the merger with the Social-Democratic Party from Romania in 2001. Variables in the models are dummies. I also ran the analysis with the initial coding (i.e. multiple categories or ordinal values) and the results are similar. For the sake of consistency and simplicity, I stick to the use and interpretation of dichotomous variables. Additional informationNotes on contributorsSergiu Gherghina Sergiu Gherghina is PhD Researcher at the Department of Political Science, University of Leiden. His main research interests include party politics in new democracies, legislative behavior, and democratization." @default.
- W2034216787 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2034216787 date "2011-09-01" @default.
- W2034216787 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W2034216787 title "Does government performance matter? Electoral support for incumbents in six post-communist countries" @default.
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- W2034216787 doi "https://doi.org/10.1080/13569775.2011.597144" @default.
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