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• W2034683619 endingPage "182" @default.
• W2034683619 startingPage "166" @default.
• W2034683619 abstract "In this review we investigate what the available data on the predictive validity of peer review can add to our understanding of judgmental forecasting. We found that peer review attests to the relative success of judgmental forecasting by experts. Both manuscript and group-based peer review allow, on average, for accurate decisions to be made. However, tension exists between peer review and innovative ideas, even though the latter underlie scientific advance. This points to the danger of biases and preconceptions in judgments. We therefore formulate two proposals for enhancing the likelihood of innovative work." @default.
• W2034683619 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W2034683619 creator A5077041486 @default.
• W2034683619 creator A5085689113 @default.
• W2034683619 date "2011-01-01" @default.
• W2034683619 modified "2023-10-07" @default.
• W2034683619 title "The predictive validity of peer review: A selective review of the judgmental forecasting qualities of peers, and implications for innovation in science" @default.
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• W2034683619 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2010.03.003" @default.
• W2034683619 hasPublicationYear "2011" @default.
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