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• W2035071888 abstract "CR Climate Research Contact the journal Facebook Twitter RSS Mailing List Subscribe to our mailing list via Mailchimp HomeLatest VolumeAbout the JournalEditorsSpecials CR 27:33-43 (2004) - doi:10.3354/cr027033 Impacts of the North Atlantic Oscillation on the probability of dry and wet winters in Spain D. Muñoz-Díaz, F. S. Rodrigo* Department of Applied Physics, University of Almería, La Cañada de San Urbano s/n, 04120 Almería, Spain *Corresponding author. Email: frodrigo@ual.es ABSTRACT: In many regions of the world, agricultural and water management is usually based on probabilities of seasonal or monthly rainfall, commonly grouped into 3 categories: drought, normal rainfall, and abundant rainfall. Changes in the probabilities of the occurrence of rainfall amounts within these climatic rainfall categories will influence decision-making by farmers and water managers. This study explores the changes induced by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) on the probability of winter rainfall in Spain. The evolution of the NAO was divided into 3 phases: negative NAO (NAO-), neutral NAO (NAOn), and positive NAO (NAO+), and rainfall series were divided into 3 groups corresponding to each NAO phase. Resulting empirical distribution functions allow an estimate of the changes in the probabilities of wet and dry winters due to changes in the NAO phase. Changes in the probability of the occurrence of the rainfall categories are more complex than mere increases in rainfall amount during NAO- and decreases during NAO+ phase. The spatial distribution of impacts is asymmetric, with higher probability of extremes linked to NAO- in the western area of the Iberian Peninsula. KEY WORDS: North Atlantic Oscillation · Rainfall · Spain Full article in pdf format PreviousNextExport citation RSS - Facebook - Tweet - linkedIn Cited by Published in CR Vol. 27, No. 1. Online publication date: August 04, 2004 Print ISSN: 0936-577X; Online ISSN: 1616-1572 Copyright © 2004 Inter-Research." @default.
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• W2035071888 title "Impacts of the North Atlantic Oscillation on the probability of dry and wet winters in Spain" @default.
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• W2035071888 doi "https://doi.org/10.3354/cr027033" @default.
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