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• W2035539295 startingPage "e80531" @default.
• W2035539295 abstract "Many ectotherms have altered their geographic ranges in response to rising global temperatures. Current range shifts will likely increase the sympatry and hybridisation between recently diverged species. Here we predict future sympatric distributions and risk of hybridisation in seven Mediterranean ischnurid damselfly species (I. elegans, I. fountaineae, I. genei, I. graellsii, I. pumilio, I. saharensis and I. senegalensis). We used a maximum entropy modelling technique to predict future potential distribution under four different Global Circulation Models and a realistic emissions scenario of climate change. We carried out a comprehensive data compilation of reproductive isolation (habitat, temporal, sexual, mechanical and gametic) between the seven studied species. Combining the potential distribution and data of reproductive isolation at different instances (habitat, temporal, sexual, mechanical and gametic), we infer the risk of hybridisation in these insects. Our findings showed that all but I. graellsii will decrease in distributional extent and all species except I. senegalensis are predicted to have northern range shifts. Models of potential distribution predicted an increase of the likely overlapping ranges for 12 species combinations, out of a total of 42 combinations, 10 of which currently overlap. Moreover, the lack of complete reproductive isolation and the patterns of hybridisation detected between closely related ischnurids, could lead to local extinctions of native species if the hybrids or the introgressed colonising species become more successful." @default.
• W2035539295 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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• W2035539295 date "2013-11-15" @default.
• W2035539295 modified "2023-10-14" @default.
• W2035539295 title "Climate-Induced Range Shifts and Possible Hybridisation Consequences in Insects" @default.
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• W2035539295 doi "https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0080531" @default.
• W2035539295 hasPubMedCentralId "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/3829986" @default.
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