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- W2036402561 abstract "A reliable assessment of the economic viability of a new capital project depends upon an accurate prediction of the economic parameters which constitute that project. For many capital intensive projects, where the decision to invest is tantamount to disclosing the company's marketing strategy for the next 10–15 years, the product sales volume and price are usually the most crucial parameters. A considerable research appears to have been made in an attempt to explain the pattern of past sales behaviour, with a view to facilitating the prediction of future sales volumes. However, a search of the literature shows that little work of a similar nature seems to have been published with a view to simplifying the prediction of future selling prices. This paper shows that the selling prices of certain chemicals can be modelled according to the relationship: Selling Price (real terms) = a exp{ b /[(Time) 2 + c (Time) + d ]} and that the selling price approaches a conceptual price, the Base Price, which can be forecasted according to the relationship: Base Price (real terms) = exp{ a (Time) 2 + b (Time) + c } Albeit difficult, if one is willing to attempt forecasting those variables which affect the Base Price, then it is possible to compute the likely extent of future price erosion and moreover its economic impact on a new or existing capital project." @default.
- W2036402561 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2036402561 date "1977-11-01" @default.
- W2036402561 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
- W2036402561 title "Chemical commodity price erosion" @default.
- W2036402561 cites W2059832622 @default.
- W2036402561 cites W2140856184 @default.
- W2036402561 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/0377-841x(77)90007-9" @default.
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