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- W2040832377 abstract "The Pacific Northwest Ecosystem Research Consortium (funded primarily by the US Environmental Protection Agency) is soon to release an atlas of ecological scenarios for Oregon. The project maps out current land use and land cover at the quarter acre resolution, and then produces three different maps of the future assuming different ecological trajectories (http://www.fsl.orst.edu/pnwerc/wrb/atlas/atlas_toc.html). The three alternative scenarios are an aggressive development scenario, a conservation scenario and a business-as-usual scenario. These ‘future maps’ make clear to both the public and decision-makers that choices available now will have consequences in the future.In addition, the project also produces a map depicting conditions in 1850. All the maps are then interpreted in terms of what they imply for effects on ecological conditions. The Oregon project is noteworthy because it is probably the finest-scale scenario analysis yet completed, and the one most soundly based on measured data. The use of alternative scenarios is becoming increasingly popular in environmental decision making, because scenarios bundle together assumptions and values in coherent packages that are easier to understand than are complex models with innumerable permutations of parameters. PK" @default.
- W2040832377 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2040832377 date "2001-09-01" @default.
- W2040832377 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W2040832377 title "Ecological scenario building guides policy in North America" @default.
- W2040832377 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/s0169-5347(01)02296-0" @default.
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