Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2048857068> ?p ?o ?g. }
Showing items 1 to 81 of
81
with 100 items per page.
- W2048857068 endingPage "150" @default.
- W2048857068 startingPage "134" @default.
- W2048857068 abstract "Better methods are required to assess the skill or uncertainty of plankton model predictions. A method is presented which combines cross-validation with simulated repeat samplings of the data (Monte Carlo simulation), in order to robustly estimate uncertainty in predictions beyond the calibration data (‘extra-sample’). The method is applied to compare two bulk models of chlorophyll on Georges Bank using the GLOBEC data set, accounting for data and forcing errors as well as prior uncertainty in all model parameters and initial conditions. The first model is a simple interpolation of chlorophyll data (‘inductive’ model), and serves as a baseline of predictive skill. The second is a simple process model forced by interannually-variable nutrient and mesozooplankton mean fields. Uncertainty in the process model forcings severely increases the extra-sample prediction variance (over repeat experiments). Although the process model can reproduce some of the interannual chlorophyll variability via top-down control by mesozooplankton, other predictions are strongly biased, possibly due to neglected boundary fluxes of chlorophyll. As a result, the new skill metrics generally favour the inductive model. By contrast, a standard skill metric based on calibration data misfit incorrectly favours the process model, mainly due to the neglect of extra-sample prediction variance." @default.
- W2048857068 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2048857068 creator A5030792189 @default.
- W2048857068 creator A5062778201 @default.
- W2048857068 creator A5072417153 @default.
- W2048857068 creator A5078760699 @default.
- W2048857068 date "2009-02-01" @default.
- W2048857068 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W2048857068 title "Skill assessment via cross-validation and Monte Carlo simulation: An application to Georges Bank plankton models" @default.
- W2048857068 cites W1968371014 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W1970726767 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W1983714456 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W1984069700 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W1995090261 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W2000787832 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W2002122004 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W2010641908 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W2012540692 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W2020613781 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W2037090856 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W2038653611 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W2044249980 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W2059079053 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W2077769416 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W2089713271 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W2125349525 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W2155649917 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W2157281026 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W2159602351 @default.
- W2048857068 cites W4246745662 @default.
- W2048857068 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmarsys.2008.03.010" @default.
- W2048857068 hasPublicationYear "2009" @default.
- W2048857068 type Work @default.
- W2048857068 sameAs 2048857068 @default.
- W2048857068 citedByCount "3" @default.
- W2048857068 countsByYear W20488570682015 @default.
- W2048857068 countsByYear W20488570682022 @default.
- W2048857068 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W2048857068 hasAuthorship W2048857068A5030792189 @default.
- W2048857068 hasAuthorship W2048857068A5062778201 @default.
- W2048857068 hasAuthorship W2048857068A5072417153 @default.
- W2048857068 hasAuthorship W2048857068A5078760699 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConcept C111368507 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConcept C154945302 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConcept C19499675 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConcept C27181475 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConcept C39432304 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConceptScore W2048857068C105795698 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConceptScore W2048857068C111368507 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConceptScore W2048857068C127313418 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConceptScore W2048857068C154945302 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConceptScore W2048857068C19499675 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConceptScore W2048857068C27181475 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConceptScore W2048857068C33923547 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConceptScore W2048857068C39432304 @default.
- W2048857068 hasConceptScore W2048857068C41008148 @default.
- W2048857068 hasIssue "1-2" @default.
- W2048857068 hasLocation W20488570681 @default.
- W2048857068 hasOpenAccess W2048857068 @default.
- W2048857068 hasPrimaryLocation W20488570681 @default.
- W2048857068 hasRelatedWork W1968310241 @default.
- W2048857068 hasRelatedWork W2054481205 @default.
- W2048857068 hasRelatedWork W2327261103 @default.
- W2048857068 hasRelatedWork W2389107308 @default.
- W2048857068 hasRelatedWork W2537118721 @default.
- W2048857068 hasRelatedWork W2899084033 @default.
- W2048857068 hasRelatedWork W2968042626 @default.
- W2048857068 hasRelatedWork W2986035874 @default.
- W2048857068 hasRelatedWork W4200020759 @default.
- W2048857068 hasRelatedWork W4298142109 @default.
- W2048857068 hasVolume "76" @default.
- W2048857068 isParatext "false" @default.
- W2048857068 isRetracted "false" @default.
- W2048857068 magId "2048857068" @default.
- W2048857068 workType "article" @default.