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- W2053849902 abstract "CERTAIN highly cathected words have long been used to persuade and incite individuals and groups to action. We are for peace, health, and virtue and against aggressors, disease, and sin. In our Age of Science, however, numbers have become even more effective than words in art of persuasion. Percentages, rates, and ratios have become focal points toward which public attention is directed, and we hear daily of accident rates, wage rates, unemployment rates, divorce rates, interest rates, and so on. The magic of numbers refers to illusion of certainty and knowledge that is created by oversimplified quantification of complex problems. The simplicity or certainty attached to saying the rate is going up or the rate is going down is soul-satisfying, with its absence of conflict and contradiction. (Seldom are conflicting trends mentioned in same sentence.) Many indexes are relatively easy to compute. They are highly visible once computed; and attitudes are easily attached to them in form of things are getting better, with movement of rate in one direction, and things are getting worse, with movement in other direction. Whether any kind of rate could be computed and published periodically without having good or bad connotations attached to changes in trend is highly questionable. It would be an oversimplification in itself to attribute capacity of simple indexes to seduce and lull critical thinking processes solely to close relationship between quantitative and scientific. Since recorded history man has been fascinated by simplicity and orderliness of numbers and numerical relationships. In early Greek thinking orderly and good and beautiful were closely associated. Yet it would also be a mistake to overlook persuasiveness that indexes acquire through fact that language of science is, to a large extent, mathematical and statistical. With poor logic, reverse is too often naively accepted: that if something is stated in quantitative form, then it must be scientific, and hence closer to truth and certainty than if stated otherwise. The quantification of complex problems is one technique in obtaining an understanding of many factors usually found in any complex situation. The capacity to abstract essential elements of a situation and express them in symbolic form has enabled man to achieve solutions to many perplexing problems. It is not quantification" @default.
- W2053849902 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2053849902 date "1966-03-01" @default.
- W2053849902 modified "2023-09-28" @default.
- W2053849902 title "Number Magic: The Oversimplified Quantification of Complex Problems" @default.
- W2053849902 doi "https://doi.org/10.1086/641856" @default.
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