FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2057654860> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W2057654860 endingPage "2313" @default.
• W2057654860 startingPage "2299" @default.
• W2057654860 abstract "Monthly mean temperature anomalies in the regions England, Germany and Scandinavia are predicted by linear regression. Two predictors are selected from monthly mean teleconnection indices, North Atlantic sea surface temperatures (SSTs) projected on the first three empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs), and European climate variables (temperature, sea level pressure, and precipitation) averaged in the three predictand regions. The predictors are chosen separately for each month according to their correlation with the predictand. Observations from 1870–1999 and data from a 600-year integration with the coupled atmosphere– ocean general-circulation model ECHAM/HOPE are used to assess and compare the forecast skill. The skill is measured by the anomaly correlation coefficient (ACC) and the explained variance (EV). For a one-month lead time the ACC for observations is up to 0:6 (EV≈35%) for February–March and August–September in the three regions. The skill for the simulated data is lower (maximum values at ACC≈0:5,EV≈25%) and its seasonal dependence differs from that of the observations. Main predictors are the preceding temperatures in the predictand region. Using segments of the simulated data the spread of skill is estimated as 0.1 in ACC (10% in EV). For lead times up to one year there is a small ACC (0.3–0.4) in the observations for England (spring and late summer), and Scandinavia (August–September), but none in Germany. The observed two-month mean England temperature in spring and late summer can be predicted with six months' lead time for 1971–96 with 1870–1969 as a training set, selecting the first two North Atlantic SST EOF coefficients as predictors. A leave-two-out cross-validation in 1870–1999 shows a distinct reduction of skill. In simulated data, the skill beyond one month is negligible compared with the observations. Copyright © 2003 Royal Meteorological Society." @default.
• W2057654860 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W2057654860 creator A5001932217 @default.
• W2057654860 creator A5065986755 @default.
• W2057654860 creator A5081902164 @default.
• W2057654860 creator A5088276558 @default.
• W2057654860 date "2003-07-01" @default.
• W2057654860 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
• W2057654860 title "Predictability study of the observed and simulated European climate using linear regression" @default.
• W2057654860 cites W1555022630 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W1971021504 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W1974807597 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W1980695248 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W1982256029 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W1982750852 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W1989225937 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W1992435483 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2002415948 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2016948562 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2031833790 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2032276178 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2043365001 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2051940971 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2052332013 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2068624077 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2068701783 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2071592139 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2072917401 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2077167237 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2083808992 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2084547407 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2089318837 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2099019225 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2117740907 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2131477567 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2132985915 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2172634595 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2174817738 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2179386986 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W2179688598 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W4212995725 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W4235257933 @default.
• W2057654860 cites W4255083528 @default.
• W2057654860 doi "https://doi.org/10.1256/qj.02.103" @default.
• W2057654860 hasPublicationYear "2003" @default.
• W2057654860 type Work @default.
• W2057654860 sameAs 2057654860 @default.
• W2057654860 citedByCount "16" @default.
• W2057654860 countsByYear W20576548602012 @default.
• W2057654860 countsByYear W20576548602015 @default.
• W2057654860 countsByYear W20576548602016 @default.
• W2057654860 countsByYear W20576548602019 @default.
• W2057654860 countsByYear W20576548602021 @default.
• W2057654860 countsByYear W20576548602023 @default.
• W2057654860 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
• W2057654860 hasAuthorship W2057654860A5001932217 @default.
• W2057654860 hasAuthorship W2057654860A5065986755 @default.
• W2057654860 hasAuthorship W2057654860A5081902164 @default.
• W2057654860 hasAuthorship W2057654860A5088276558 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C107054158 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C121332964 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C123576220 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C12997251 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C13724139 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C153294291 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C170061395 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C17093552 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C197640229 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C26873012 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C39432304 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C48921125 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C49204034 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C507956050 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConcept C91586092 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C105795698 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C107054158 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C121332964 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C123576220 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C127313418 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C12997251 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C13724139 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C153294291 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C170061395 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C17093552 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C197640229 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C205649164 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C26873012 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C33923547 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C39432304 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C48921125 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C49204034 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C507956050 @default.
• W2057654860 hasConceptScore W2057654860C91586092 @default.
• W2057654860 hasIssue "592" @default.

• next