Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2058874953> ?p ?o ?g. }
Showing items 1 to 93 of
93
with 100 items per page.
- W2058874953 endingPage "1028" @default.
- W2058874953 startingPage "1019" @default.
- W2058874953 abstract "An actual demand-forecasting problem of the US apparel dealers is studied. Demand is highly fluctuating during the peak sale season and low prior to the peak season. The model is described by the continuous time stochastic process applying the Bayesian process. The standard gamma distribution is selected for the demand process and an inverse gamma distribution is chosen as the conjugate prior for the model. The choice is supported by the maximum likelihood estimate among a number of non-negative distribution models. The proposed Bayesian models predict the probability of the future demand expressed explicitly conditional on the observed demand prior to the peak season. The data set illustrates partial demand of a seasonal product procured by the US dealers from overseas. In recent years, hazard and operational risks due to weather disasters and equipment shutdowns were felt significantly. These caused supply chain disruption and unrecorded demand. The model is extended to contribute to forecast from an unrecorded data set due to supply disruption. Forecasts are compared with real data and a widely implemented adaptive Holt-Winters (H-W) seasonal forecasting model. Results show that the forecasts calculated by the proposed methods do better than those of the adaptive H-W model." @default.
- W2058874953 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2058874953 creator A5018093635 @default.
- W2058874953 creator A5089957780 @default.
- W2058874953 creator A5090588952 @default.
- W2058874953 date "2011-06-01" @default.
- W2058874953 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W2058874953 title "Peak demand forecasting for a seasonal product using Bayesian approach" @default.
- W2058874953 cites W1973862952 @default.
- W2058874953 cites W1990370774 @default.
- W2058874953 cites W1992754822 @default.
- W2058874953 cites W2008452953 @default.
- W2058874953 cites W2031620412 @default.
- W2058874953 cites W2062897524 @default.
- W2058874953 cites W2074508738 @default.
- W2058874953 cites W2081537805 @default.
- W2058874953 cites W2085866051 @default.
- W2058874953 cites W2089762011 @default.
- W2058874953 cites W2096952352 @default.
- W2058874953 cites W2117996383 @default.
- W2058874953 cites W2132782512 @default.
- W2058874953 cites W2133678872 @default.
- W2058874953 cites W2162174678 @default.
- W2058874953 cites W2165691491 @default.
- W2058874953 cites W2167036165 @default.
- W2058874953 cites W4230410911 @default.
- W2058874953 doi "https://doi.org/10.1057/jors.2010.58" @default.
- W2058874953 hasPublicationYear "2011" @default.
- W2058874953 type Work @default.
- W2058874953 sameAs 2058874953 @default.
- W2058874953 citedByCount "15" @default.
- W2058874953 countsByYear W20588749532012 @default.
- W2058874953 countsByYear W20588749532014 @default.
- W2058874953 countsByYear W20588749532015 @default.
- W2058874953 countsByYear W20588749532017 @default.
- W2058874953 countsByYear W20588749532018 @default.
- W2058874953 countsByYear W20588749532019 @default.
- W2058874953 countsByYear W20588749532020 @default.
- W2058874953 countsByYear W20588749532021 @default.
- W2058874953 countsByYear W20588749532023 @default.
- W2058874953 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W2058874953 hasAuthorship W2058874953A5018093635 @default.
- W2058874953 hasAuthorship W2058874953A5089957780 @default.
- W2058874953 hasAuthorship W2058874953A5090588952 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConcept C107673813 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConcept C122282355 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConcept C149441793 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConcept C149782125 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConcept C160234255 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConcept C162324750 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConcept C193809577 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConcept C2524010 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConcept C42475967 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConcept C49937458 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConcept C90673727 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConceptScore W2058874953C105795698 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConceptScore W2058874953C107673813 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConceptScore W2058874953C122282355 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConceptScore W2058874953C149441793 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConceptScore W2058874953C149782125 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConceptScore W2058874953C160234255 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConceptScore W2058874953C162324750 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConceptScore W2058874953C193809577 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConceptScore W2058874953C2524010 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConceptScore W2058874953C33923547 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConceptScore W2058874953C41008148 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConceptScore W2058874953C42475967 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConceptScore W2058874953C49937458 @default.
- W2058874953 hasConceptScore W2058874953C90673727 @default.
- W2058874953 hasIssue "6" @default.
- W2058874953 hasLocation W20588749531 @default.
- W2058874953 hasOpenAccess W2058874953 @default.
- W2058874953 hasPrimaryLocation W20588749531 @default.
- W2058874953 hasRelatedWork W1581738021 @default.
- W2058874953 hasRelatedWork W2108117961 @default.
- W2058874953 hasRelatedWork W2114346345 @default.
- W2058874953 hasRelatedWork W2125126751 @default.
- W2058874953 hasRelatedWork W2563976493 @default.
- W2058874953 hasRelatedWork W2772689174 @default.
- W2058874953 hasRelatedWork W2911402592 @default.
- W2058874953 hasRelatedWork W3124727039 @default.
- W2058874953 hasRelatedWork W3158153626 @default.
- W2058874953 hasRelatedWork W4249395738 @default.
- W2058874953 hasVolume "62" @default.
- W2058874953 isParatext "false" @default.
- W2058874953 isRetracted "false" @default.
- W2058874953 magId "2058874953" @default.
- W2058874953 workType "article" @default.