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• W2062435805 abstract "Four experiments examined 3 types of violations of coherence criteria in risk assessments of a terrorist attack. First, the requirement that extensionally equivalent descriptions be assigned the same probability (i.e., additivity) was violated. Unpacking descriptions of an attack into subtypes led to an increase in assessed risk. Second, additivity was also violated when risk assessments were obtained by subtracting the probability of no attack from 1.0. This refocusing procedure inflated assessed risk. Third, refocusing also increased the proportion of monotonicity violations in assessing risk across increasing or decreasing timeframes. Task structuring that promoted consideration of complementary possibilities increased coherence, suggesting that incoherence is due primarily to errors in applying rather than comprehending the relevant criteria." @default.
• W2062435805 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W2062435805 creator A5023510020 @default.
• W2062435805 date "2005-01-01" @default.
• W2062435805 modified "2023-10-12" @default.
• W2062435805 title "Are Risk Assessments of a Terrorist Attack Coherent?" @default.
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• W2062435805 doi "https://doi.org/10.1037/1076-898x.11.4.277" @default.
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