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- W2063070030 abstract "The use of technical analysis to predict security price movements from past price series has been supported by a number of academic research studies. These studies are broadly based on the premise that a technical trading rule should have constant validity over time. This premise is in accord with the practitioner rational for technical analysis, which is that, in the securities markets, history tends to repeat itself due to the relative constancy of human behaviour. The primary purpose of this paper is to investigate the extent to which technical trading rules have constant validity over time by determining the extent to which rules derived entirely from a particular time period can have validity over a variety of different time periods. It is found that rules derived from the data from the early period can be predictive at a later date and, rather unexpectedly, can even exceed the predictive power of rules derived from more contemporary data. It is hypothesized that this may be due to a decreasing signa..." @default.
- W2063070030 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2063070030 date "2004-02-01" @default.
- W2063070030 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W2063070030 title "Back to the future: an empirical investigation into the validity of stock index models over time" @default.
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- W2063070030 doi "https://doi.org/10.1080/0960310042000187351" @default.
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