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- W2064856543 abstract "This paper explores the information content of several variables on the so-called price premium over fundamentals. We define this premium as the difference between the market oil price and the estimated price consistent with the OECD's relative industry stock level. By using Granger causality tests and extended regressions we test the systematic ability of a broad set of variables to explain the premium. We find that speculation in the oil market - measured by non-commercial long positions - can improve the traditional model, reducing the premium significantly during some parts of the sample." @default.
- W2064856543 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2064856543 date "2005-06-01" @default.
- W2064856543 modified "2023-09-28" @default.
- W2064856543 title "Explaining the So-Called 'Price Premium' in Oil Markets" @default.
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