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• W2071924796 abstract "Real options analysis is a promising approach to model investment under uncertainty. We employ this approach to value stockpiling of antiviral drugs as a precautionary measure against a possible influenza pandemic. Modifications of the real options approach to include risk attitude and deviations from expected utility are presented. We show that risk aversion counteracts the tendency to delay investment for this case of precautionary investment, which is in contrast to earlier applications of risk aversion to real options analysis. Moreover, we provide a numerical example using real world data and discuss the implications of real options analysis for health policy. Suggestions for further extensions of the model and a comparison with the expected value of information analysis are put forward." @default.
• W2071924796 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W2071924796 creator A5001619297 @default.
• W2071924796 creator A5047866823 @default.
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• W2071924796 date "2009-10-08" @default.
• W2071924796 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
• W2071924796 title "Investment in antiviral drugs: a real options approach" @default.
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• W2071924796 doi "https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.1549" @default.
• W2071924796 hasPubMedId "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/19816857" @default.
• W2071924796 hasPublicationYear "2009" @default.
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