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- W2072017212 abstract "In (1981), Levi has laid out the issues involving chances, frequencies, and direct inference with admirable precision. Nevertheless, puzzles remain. The chief puzzle to which I wish to draw attention is this: Under certain circumstances, we can combine knowledge of chances and knowledge of frequencies to yield new knowledge of chances. If Petersen is “drawn at random” from among Swedes, and we also know that the proportion of Protestants among Swedes is 0.9, then we can say that the chance that Petersen is a Protestant is 0.9. But if we apply this principle generally, we are led to generally trivial results: direct inference yields probabilities constrained only to lie in a broad interval like [0, 1]. On the other hand, if we can't always combine knowledge of chances and knowledge of frequencies to get new knowledge of chances, or if this knowledge can be overridden by other considerations, how do we know when we can usefully apply direct inference?" @default.
- W2072017212 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2072017212 date "1983-12-01" @default.
- W2072017212 modified "2023-10-03" @default.
- W2072017212 title "Levi, Petersen, and Direct Inference" @default.
- W2072017212 cites W2041178725 @default.
- W2072017212 doi "https://doi.org/10.1086/289144" @default.
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