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- W2073630585 abstract "We compiled the record of wildfires from each national forest unit in the southeastern United States for the period 1989 to 1998, then regressed annual fire numbers against lightning flash densities (as recorded by the National Lightning Detection Network) and measures of climatic drought (seasonal precipitation and Palmer Drought Severity Index [PDSI] values). Lightning-caused fires were most common in Florida, where seasonally-dry winters and high lightning-flash density elevate fire risk. Overall regression models consistently identified fire-season PDSI as the most influential explanatory variable in accounting for the spatial and temporal pattern of fires, whereas the contribution of lightning-flash density to regional patterns of wildfires is muted. Lightning density only enters the overall model when a single outlier forest unit from Florida is included in the regression analysis. With respect to physiographically defined regional regression models, lightning density was only a significant influence in the Coastal Plain-East, which included Florida. Some measure of climatic drought was uniformly present in all other regions, except in the driest portion of the study region, the Ozark-Ouachita Uplands. Elsewhere, geographic variation in effective moisture is highlighted. Drought for periods of up to 12 months is necessary to promote burning in the wetter forests of the Appalachian Highlands, but periods of antecedent drought necessary to trigger widespread wildfires are shorter in the warmer and drier Piedmont and Coastal Plain." @default.
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- W2073630585 date "2005-01-01" @default.
- W2073630585 modified "2023-09-28" @default.
- W2073630585 title "Climate, Lightning, and Wildfire in the National Forests of the Southeastern United States: 1989-1998" @default.
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- W2073630585 doi "https://doi.org/10.2747/0272-3646.26.2.147" @default.
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