Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2076452977> ?p ?o ?g. }
Showing items 1 to 83 of
83
with 100 items per page.
- W2076452977 abstract "This paper describes procedures for forecasting countries' output growth rates and medians of a set of output growth rates using Hierarchical Bayesian (HB) models. The purpose of this paper is to show how the γ-shrinkage forecast of Zellner and Hong (1989) emerges from a hierarchical Bayesian model and to describe how the Gibbs sampler can be used to fit this model to yield possibly improved output growth rate and median output growth rate forecasts. The procedures described in this paper offer two primary methodological contributions to previous work on this topic: (1) the weights associated with widely-used shrinkage forecasts are determined endogenously, and (2) the posterior predictive density of the future median output growth rate is obtained numerically from which optimal point and interval forecasts are calculated. Using IMF data, we find that the HB median output growth rate forecasts outperform forecasts obtained from variety of benchmark models. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd." @default.
- W2076452977 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2076452977 creator A5054275598 @default.
- W2076452977 date "2001-01-01" @default.
- W2076452977 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
- W2076452977 title "Forecasting output growth rates and median output growth rates: a hierarchical Bayesian approach" @default.
- W2076452977 cites W1981049247 @default.
- W2076452977 cites W1990491203 @default.
- W2076452977 cites W1997106158 @default.
- W2076452977 cites W2010368771 @default.
- W2076452977 cites W2046811824 @default.
- W2076452977 cites W2056760934 @default.
- W2076452977 cites W2075332880 @default.
- W2076452977 cites W2077039755 @default.
- W2076452977 cites W2083875149 @default.
- W2076452977 cites W2136796925 @default.
- W2076452977 cites W2138309709 @default.
- W2076452977 cites W2144272899 @default.
- W2076452977 cites W2154482357 @default.
- W2076452977 cites W4292403327 @default.
- W2076452977 doi "https://doi.org/10.1002/for.800" @default.
- W2076452977 hasPublicationYear "2001" @default.
- W2076452977 type Work @default.
- W2076452977 sameAs 2076452977 @default.
- W2076452977 citedByCount "18" @default.
- W2076452977 countsByYear W20764529772012 @default.
- W2076452977 countsByYear W20764529772013 @default.
- W2076452977 countsByYear W20764529772015 @default.
- W2076452977 countsByYear W20764529772017 @default.
- W2076452977 countsByYear W20764529772019 @default.
- W2076452977 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W2076452977 hasAuthorship W2076452977A5054275598 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConcept C107673813 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConcept C13280743 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConcept C149782125 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConcept C158424031 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConcept C160234255 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConcept C162324750 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConcept C185798385 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConcept C2524010 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConcept C2778312390 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConceptScore W2076452977C105795698 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConceptScore W2076452977C107673813 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConceptScore W2076452977C13280743 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConceptScore W2076452977C149782125 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConceptScore W2076452977C158424031 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConceptScore W2076452977C160234255 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConceptScore W2076452977C162324750 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConceptScore W2076452977C185798385 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConceptScore W2076452977C205649164 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConceptScore W2076452977C2524010 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConceptScore W2076452977C2778312390 @default.
- W2076452977 hasConceptScore W2076452977C33923547 @default.
- W2076452977 hasLocation W20764529771 @default.
- W2076452977 hasOpenAccess W2076452977 @default.
- W2076452977 hasPrimaryLocation W20764529771 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W1563468926 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W1967239989 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W1979410064 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W1980688377 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W1980792219 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W1981049247 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W1986450204 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W1986528915 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W1986969452 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W1987117965 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W1987664095 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W198840150 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W1990491203 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W2011985563 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W2013102392 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W2018017486 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W3125613485 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W936690761 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W193012199 @default.
- W2076452977 hasRelatedWork W1993387039 @default.
- W2076452977 isParatext "false" @default.
- W2076452977 isRetracted "false" @default.
- W2076452977 magId "2076452977" @default.
- W2076452977 workType "article" @default.