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- W2078487629 abstract "This paper examines past African growth experience and attempts to simulate future ones. In addition to more commonly used determinants of total factor productivity, a measure of the effect of labor real location and an index of economic diversification are constructed and included as factors for long-term growth. A simple model is constructed for the purpose of simulating growth scenarios up to the year 2020 for Burkina Faso, Cote d`Ivoire, Ghana, Mali, Tanzania, and Uganda. Even if one makes relatively optimistic assumptions, Africa is not likely to reach Asian tiger levels of growth. The results also suggest that growth will depend, to a large extent, on educational investments and productivity gains in agriculture." @default.
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- W2078487629 date "2002-01-01" @default.
- W2078487629 modified "2023-10-03" @default.
- W2078487629 title "Will There Be New Emerging-Market Economies in Africa by the Year 2020?" @default.
- W2078487629 doi "https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.879905" @default.
- W2078487629 hasPublicationYear "2002" @default.
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