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• W2082934008 abstract "Abstract Towards a low carbon world, the global emission space in the future will be very restricted, which will have a significant impact on the deployment of energy infrastructure system. A low carbon energy system will be the key to achieve 2 degrees trajectory. This paper addresses this issue by combining the Equitable Access to Sustainable Development model (EASD) and the Global Change Assessment model (GCAM) to analyze the development of regional energy consumption and power generation in the process of combating climate change. GCAM, a dynamic-recursive integrated model, has divided the world into 14 regions. Under the long term targets resulting in harmonized radiative forcing levels, the carbon constraints of all regions are quantified in EASD through the allocation based on the per capita, the convergence and the status-quo basis, respectively. These constraints are then set as the policy scenarios in GCAM simulations. The findings underline the substantial reductions in coal consumption and huge growth in renewable energy and nuclear in all regions. The fossil fuel consumption of developed regions has to plummet at once on the per capita basis and peak before 2020 on both the convergence and the status-quo basis. In developing regions, the nuclear and the coal/gas with carbon capture and storage (CCS) gradually dominate the power supply. CCS and nuclear are the two main technology choices for electricity generation in developed regions." @default.
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• W2082934008 date "2014-01-01" @default.
• W2082934008 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
• W2082934008 title "Energy Transition within a Carbon Constrained World: How Allocation Schemes Influence the Development of Energy System in the Future" @default.
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• W2082934008 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2014.11.1088" @default.
• W2082934008 hasPublicationYear "2014" @default.
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