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• W2091165963 abstract "This paper examines the ability of naive investor expectations models to explain the higher returns to contrarian investment strategies. Contrary to Lakonishok, Shleifer, and Vishny (1994), we find no systematic evidence that stock prices reflect naive extrapolation of past trends in earnings and sales growth. Building on Bauman and Dowen (1988) and La Porta (1995), however, we find that stock prices appear to naively reflect analysts' biased forecasts of future earnings growth. Further, we find that naive reliance on analysts' forecasts of future earnings growth can explain over half of the higher returns to contrarian investment strategies." @default.
• W2091165963 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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• W2091165963 date "1997-01-01" @default.
• W2091165963 modified "2023-10-16" @default.
• W2091165963 title "Returns to contrarian investment strategies: Tests of naive expectations hypotheses" @default.
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• W2091165963 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/s0304-405x(96)00887-2" @default.
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