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- W2091974787 abstract "Abstract It is widely assumed that policy considerations are important when parties form government coalitions. But if this is so, and if coalitions are negotiated in multi-dimensional policy spaces with no majority parties, then a rapid turn-over of coalitions should be observed, cf. the chaos theorem. However, we rarely witness this. Here we analyse two of the most prominent theories that address this puzzle: Laver and Shepsle's portfolio allocation model; and Warwick's policy horizon hypothesis. We do not analyse the ‘usual suspects’ (i.e. national government formations in Europe), but present a new empirical testing ground: Danish local governments. We rely on Laver and Shepsle's Winset programme to identify ‘strong parties’ in the portfolio allocation model but develop a new measure of Warwick's policy horizons that better deals with problems of multi-dimensionality. In a conditional logit analysis of survey data from 3000 local councillors, we find support for the policy horizons model, but not for the portfolio allocation model." @default.
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- W2091974787 date "2010-12-01" @default.
- W2091974787 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W2091974787 title "Portfolio Allocation or Policy Horizons? Determinants of Coalition Formation in Danish Local Government" @default.
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- W2091974787 doi "https://doi.org/10.1080/03003930.2010.522023" @default.
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