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- W2092181852 abstract "This paper empirically estimates the credibility of the African National Congress's recent threat to nationalize South African mineral assets. While South Africa's financial press argued that the threat was negatively affecting mineral investment and asset values, mining industry executives were confident that the threat was not credible. Using financial market data, I estimate the annual probability of nationalization to have been relatively low, at 1.4%. Although specific to the South African political environment, this result can serve as a benchmark when including political risk in applied models of land and natural resource valuation, investment timing, and resource extraction." @default.
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- W2092181852 date "2001-09-01" @default.
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- W2092181852 title "The Credibility of a Threat to Nationalize" @default.
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- W2092181852 doi "https://doi.org/10.1006/jeem.2000.1151" @default.
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