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- W2093866593 abstract "We distinguish two types of debt crises: those that are the outcome of exogenous shocks (to productivity growth for instance) and those that are endogenously created, either by self-fulfilling panic in financial markets or by the reckless behavior of Panglossian borrowers. After Krugman, we characterize as Panglossian those borrowers who only focus on their best growth prospects, anticipating to default on their debt if hit by an adverse shock, rationally ignoring the risk of default. We apply these categories empirically to the data. We show that, taken together, endogenous crises are powerful explanations of debt crises, more important for instance than the sheer effect of growth on a country's solvency." @default.
- W2093866593 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2093866593 date "2011-02-01" @default.
- W2093866593 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W2093866593 title "Endogenous Debt Crises" @default.
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