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• W2103250147 abstract "The availability and cost of capital are important factors affecting the viability and vitality of any sector of the economy. The relationship between the performance of the capital markets and the health of the local economy is especially important in rural markets which have historically lagged metropolitan areas both in time, and in the sophistication of capital products. Additionally, rural financial markets are more dispersed than their urban or metropolitan counterparts, and commonly used measures of concentration generally indicate less competitive rural lending markets, even though the evidence on cost and availability of debt capital is mixed at best. On the regulatory and policy front, there is a renewed emphasis in rural economic development programs, and yet many believe that rural capital markets are insufficient to fully facilitate the broad scale economic transformations they envision. At the same time, liberalized bank branching laws and the continued consolidation of the banking sector raise concerns about potential detrimental impacts on local economies – although again the evidence to date is mixed at best. Federal budget pressures continue to limit the scope of direct involvement in traditional assistance programs in favor of indirect and guarantee programs. In any case, it is generally agreed that the rural financial sector is undergoing dramatic changes, and that the health of the markets it serves depends importantly on its ability to meet the challenges of the future. Thus, my charge today is to identify some of the more important trends affecting rural financial markets and the businesses they serve. Given the Outlook theme of the conference, I will try to distill some of the causes and consequences, and occasionally venture cautiously into predictions about how they may play out in the future. But, before moving to the future, it is worth benchmarking today’s situation in general terms. Of course, any generalization will miss cases on both sides of the standard, but according to many measures, the status of the rural economy is reasonably good. Figure 1, which shows the price history of U.S. farmland from 1960 to 1997, summarizes the status of the rural economy over the same period. After the sharp run up in prices through the 1970s, the ensuing decline through most of the 1980s accompanied a generally depressed agricultural economy. Then, late in the 1980s, the recovery began and farmland values and the state of the rural economy in general, rebounded to levels today that by historic trends appear quite good. Farmland is used to illustrate the general trend both because of its importance (representing approximately 75% of ag asset values), and because it mirrored accurately the health of the rural economy." @default.
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• W2103250147 date "1998-01-01" @default.
• W2103250147 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
• W2103250147 title "RECENT TRENDS AFFECTING FARM AND RURAL BUSINESS FINANCE" @default.
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• W2103250147 doi "https://doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.33220" @default.
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