Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2103262698> ?p ?o ?g. }
Showing items 1 to 82 of
82
with 100 items per page.
- W2103262698 endingPage "4901" @default.
- W2103262698 startingPage "4893" @default.
- W2103262698 abstract "Abstract Bayesian analysis is applied to detect change points in the time series of annual tropical cyclone counts over the central North Pacific. Specifically, a hierarchical Bayesian approach involving three layers—data, parameter, and hypothesis—is formulated to demonstrate the posterior probability of the shifts throughout the time from 1966 to 2002. For the data layer, a Poisson process with gamma distributed intensity is presumed. For the hypothesis layer, a “no change in the intensity” hypothesis and a “single change in the intensity” hypothesis are considered. Results indicate that there is a great likelihood of a change point on tropical cyclone rates around 1982, which is consistent with earlier work based on a simple log-linear regression model. A Bayesian approach also provides a means for predicting decadal tropical cyclone variations. A higher number of tropical cyclones is predicted in the next decade when the possibility of the change point in the early 1980s is taken into account." @default.
- W2103262698 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2103262698 creator A5010524733 @default.
- W2103262698 creator A5071844599 @default.
- W2103262698 date "2004-12-15" @default.
- W2103262698 modified "2023-10-18" @default.
- W2103262698 title "Bayesian Change-Point Analysis of Tropical Cyclone Activity: The Central North Pacific Case*" @default.
- W2103262698 cites W1970516179 @default.
- W2103262698 cites W2025176612 @default.
- W2103262698 cites W2048602617 @default.
- W2103262698 cites W2072399729 @default.
- W2103262698 cites W2074282020 @default.
- W2103262698 cites W2084481415 @default.
- W2103262698 cites W2093401535 @default.
- W2103262698 cites W2097054834 @default.
- W2103262698 cites W2129885158 @default.
- W2103262698 cites W2173302090 @default.
- W2103262698 cites W2174221318 @default.
- W2103262698 cites W2174903004 @default.
- W2103262698 cites W2176315587 @default.
- W2103262698 cites W2177903535 @default.
- W2103262698 cites W3037797680 @default.
- W2103262698 cites W627229246 @default.
- W2103262698 doi "https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-3248.1" @default.
- W2103262698 hasPublicationYear "2004" @default.
- W2103262698 type Work @default.
- W2103262698 sameAs 2103262698 @default.
- W2103262698 citedByCount "74" @default.
- W2103262698 countsByYear W21032626982012 @default.
- W2103262698 countsByYear W21032626982013 @default.
- W2103262698 countsByYear W21032626982014 @default.
- W2103262698 countsByYear W21032626982015 @default.
- W2103262698 countsByYear W21032626982016 @default.
- W2103262698 countsByYear W21032626982017 @default.
- W2103262698 countsByYear W21032626982018 @default.
- W2103262698 countsByYear W21032626982019 @default.
- W2103262698 countsByYear W21032626982020 @default.
- W2103262698 countsByYear W21032626982021 @default.
- W2103262698 countsByYear W21032626982022 @default.
- W2103262698 countsByYear W21032626982023 @default.
- W2103262698 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W2103262698 hasAuthorship W2103262698A5010524733 @default.
- W2103262698 hasAuthorship W2103262698A5071844599 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConcept C107673813 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConcept C111368507 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConcept C132651083 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConcept C29141058 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConcept C39432304 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConcept C49204034 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConceptScore W2103262698C105795698 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConceptScore W2103262698C107673813 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConceptScore W2103262698C111368507 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConceptScore W2103262698C127313418 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConceptScore W2103262698C132651083 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConceptScore W2103262698C29141058 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConceptScore W2103262698C33923547 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConceptScore W2103262698C39432304 @default.
- W2103262698 hasConceptScore W2103262698C49204034 @default.
- W2103262698 hasIssue "24" @default.
- W2103262698 hasLocation W21032626981 @default.
- W2103262698 hasOpenAccess W2103262698 @default.
- W2103262698 hasPrimaryLocation W21032626981 @default.
- W2103262698 hasRelatedWork W2045621823 @default.
- W2103262698 hasRelatedWork W2086436209 @default.
- W2103262698 hasRelatedWork W2117738991 @default.
- W2103262698 hasRelatedWork W2131742785 @default.
- W2103262698 hasRelatedWork W2900520658 @default.
- W2103262698 hasRelatedWork W2964343421 @default.
- W2103262698 hasRelatedWork W2969467197 @default.
- W2103262698 hasRelatedWork W3138990404 @default.
- W2103262698 hasRelatedWork W4311197428 @default.
- W2103262698 hasRelatedWork W8153750 @default.
- W2103262698 hasVolume "17" @default.
- W2103262698 isParatext "false" @default.
- W2103262698 isRetracted "false" @default.
- W2103262698 magId "2103262698" @default.
- W2103262698 workType "article" @default.