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• W2105713608 abstract "This study examines the effect of food price fluctuations on violence in Africa, using international food prices as a source of exogenous shock weighted by a country's import pattern of major food commodities to create a country-specific food price index.The regression analysis shows that between 1990-2011 food price increases are associated with higher levels of violence. Moving from low to high values in the price index corresponds, after controlling for economic, social, and political factor, to an increase in violence intensity of 1.3 incidents.This effect is predominantly driven by imports of low-value added primary products. Despite the statistically significant results, the predictive power of food prices is relatively low both in and out-of sample. Using 2012 data for out-of-sample forecast shows that food prices are a relatively poor predictor of violence." @default.
• W2105713608 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W2105713608 creator A5088939927 @default.
• W2105713608 date "2014-01-01" @default.
• W2105713608 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
• W2105713608 title "Food Prices and the Incidence of Violence in Africa, 1990-2011" @default.
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• W2105713608 doi "https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2418973" @default.
• W2105713608 hasPublicationYear "2014" @default.
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