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- W2117944547 abstract "Abstract The E uropean C ommission has a mandate from the EU 's R enewable E nergy and F uel Q uality D irectives to propose a methodology, consistent with the best available science, to address indirect land use change (i LUC ). One proposed solution to the i LUC problem is the application of i LUC factors in E uropean fuels policy – it is widely expected that should the EU adopt such i LUC factors, they would be based on i LUC modelling using the I nternational F ood P olicy R esearch I nstitute's ( IFPRI ) MIRAGE model. Taking the i LUC factors from IFPRI MIRAGE as our central estimate, we use M onte C arlo analysis on a simple model of potential biofuel pathways for E urope to assess the likely average carbon saving from three possible E uropean biofuel policy scenarios: no action on i LUC ; raised GHG thresholds for direct emissions savings; and the introduction of i LUC factors. We find that without i LUC factors (or some other effective i LUC minimization approach) E uropean biofuel mandates are unlikely to deliver significant GHG emissions benefits in 2020, and have a substantial probability of increasing net GHG emissions. In contrast, the implementation of i LUC factors is likely to significantly increase the carbon savings from EU biofuel policy. With i LUC factors, it is likely that most permitted pathways would conform to the R enewable E nergy D irective requirement for a minimum 50% GHG reduction compared to fossil fuels." @default.
- W2117944547 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2117944547 date "2012-09-01" @default.
- W2117944547 modified "2023-10-17" @default.
- W2117944547 title "A model-based quantitative assessment of the carbon benefits of introducing iLUC factors in the European Renewable Energy Directive" @default.
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- W2117944547 doi "https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1757-1707.2012.01207.x" @default.
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