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• W2123168023 endingPage "643" @default.
• W2123168023 startingPage "627" @default.
• W2123168023 abstract "An increasing number of studies conclude that water limitations and heat stress may hinder the capacity of black spruce (Picea mariana (Mill.) B.S.P.) trees, a dominant species of Canada's boreal forests, to grow and assimilate atmospheric carbon. However, there is currently no scientific consensus on the future of these forests over the next century in the context of widespread climate warming. The large spatial extent of black spruce forests across the Canadian boreal forest and associated variability in climate, demography, and site conditions pose challenges for projecting future climate change responses. Here we provide an evaluation of the impacts of climate warming and drying, as well as increasing [CO2 ], on the aboveground productivity of black spruce forests across Canada south of 60°N for the period 1971 to 2100. We use a new extensive network of tree-ring data obtained from Canada's National Forest Inventory, spatially explicit simulations of net primary productivity (NPP) and its drivers, and multivariate statistical modeling. We found that soil water availability is a significant driver of black spruce interannual variability in productivity across broad areas of the western to eastern Canadian boreal forest. Interannual variability in productivity was also found to be driven by autotrophic respiration in the warmest regions. In most regions, the impacts of soil water availability and respiration on interannual variability in productivity occurred during the phase of carbohydrate accumulation the year preceding tree-ring formation. Results from projections suggest an increase in the importance of soil water availability and respiration as limiting factors on NPP over the next century due to warming, but this response may vary to the extent that other factors such as carbon dioxide fertilization, and respiration acclimation to high temperature, contribute to dampening these limitations." @default.
• W2123168023 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W2123168023 creator A5009147172 @default.
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• W2123168023 creator A5037345163 @default.
• W2123168023 creator A5046669769 @default.
• W2123168023 date "2015-10-28" @default.
• W2123168023 modified "2023-10-10" @default.
• W2123168023 title "Negative impacts of high temperatures on growth of black spruce forests intensify with the anticipated climate warming" @default.
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• W2123168023 doi "https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13072" @default.
• W2123168023 hasPubMedId "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/26507106" @default.
• W2123168023 hasPublicationYear "2015" @default.
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