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• W2126543105 abstract "Leading time length is an important issue for modeling seasonal forecasts. In this study, a comparison of the interannual predictability of the Western North Pacific (WNP) summer monsoon between different leading months was performed by using one-, four-, and seven-month lead retrospective forecasts (hindcasts) of four coupled models from Ensembles-Based Predictions of Climate Changes and Their Impacts (ENSEMBLES) for the period of 1960-2005. It is found that the WNP summer anomalies, including lower-tropospheric circulation and precipitation anomalies, can be well predicted for all these leading months. The accuracy of the four-month lead prediction is only slightly weaker than that of the one-month lead prediction, although the skill decreases with the increase of leading months." @default.
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• W2126543105 date "2012-01-01" @default.
• W2126543105 modified "2023-10-15" @default.
• W2126543105 title "The Coupled Model Predictability of the Western North Pacific Summer Monsoon with Different Leading Times" @default.
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• W2126543105 doi "https://doi.org/10.1080/16742834.2012.11447000" @default.
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