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• W2128235513 abstract "This article presents alternative scenarios for future agriculture in Finland up to 2025. These scenarios are the results of a large Delphi study carried out among Finnish agri-food sector stakeholders. The Delphi panel members gave their future view on desirable and probable futures. From these two dimensions, three scenarios were elaborated through the future images – the subjective future path and the importance analysis. The scenarios represent a technology optimistic “day-dream agriculture”, a probable future as “industrialised agriculture” and an undesirable future path as “drifting agriculture”. Two mini-scenarios are also presented. They are based on a discontinuity event as an unexpected impact of climate change and an analogy event as an ecological breakdown due to the expansive animal disease epidemics. In both mini-scenarios, the directions of storylines are dramatically changed. The scenarios support strategic planning introducing not only one forecast but alternative outcomes as a basis for future strategy and decisions. In this study the scenarios were constructed to address the opportunities as a desired vision and also the threats as to an undesirable future in the agricultural sector. These results bring to the table a Finnish agri-food expert community view of the future directions of relevant key issues in the agricultural policy agenda.;" @default.
• W2128235513 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W2128235513 creator A5058486142 @default.
• W2128235513 date "2008-12-04" @default.
• W2128235513 modified "2023-09-29" @default.
• W2128235513 title "Scenarios for future agriculture in Finland: a Delphi study among agri-food sector stakeholders" @default.
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• W2128235513 doi "https://doi.org/10.2137/145960605775013227" @default.
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