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- W2128507165 abstract "This paper studies a modified Chinese Taylor’s rule with money supply growth rate as the intermediate target. We develop survey data to measure the expected inflation and use the real marginal cost as a proxy for the output gap. The Markov regime switching model, the TVP model and the split sample OLS estimation are employed to estimate the changing coecients of the monetary reaction function. We find that there were two structural changes in the Chinese monetary policy rule, which take the form of discrete jumps rather than continuous adjustments. Besides, the Chinese central bank is not purely forward-looking as most literature assumed." @default.
- W2128507165 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2128507165 date "2009-01-01" @default.
- W2128507165 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
- W2128507165 title "A Conjecture of Chinese Monetary Policy Rule: Evidence from Survey Data, Markov Regime Switching, and Drifting Coecients *" @default.
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