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- W2130600545 abstract "A scoring rule is proper if it elicits an expert’s true beliefs as a probabilistic forecast, and it is strictly proper if it uniquely elicits an expert’s true beliefs. The value function associated with a (strictly) proper scoring rule is (strictly) convex on any convex set of beliefs. This paper gives conditions on compact sets of possible beliefs Θ that guarantee that every continuous value function on Θ is the value function associated with some strictly proper scoring rule. Compact subsets of many parametrized sets of distributions on Rk satisfy these conditions." @default.
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- W2130600545 date "2010-11-01" @default.
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- W2130600545 title "Proper scoring rules with arbitrary value functions" @default.
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- W2130600545 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmateco.2010.09.002" @default.
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