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- W2133111154 abstract "Purpose: A possible explanation for the seeming complexity of osteoarthritis is that it is not one disease, but a collection of disease sub-types with different aetiology and clinical characteristics. In this study we used latent class cluster analysis to find subtypes of knee osteoarthritis based on OA characteristics in the baseline data of the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI). Methods: Latent class cluster analysis (LCA) is a model based clustering approach that assumes the existence of a latent variable (the various clusters) that influences a set of observed variables, in this case OA characteristics. The optimal number of clusters was determined based on the BIC (Bayesian Information Criterion) that informs on the goodness of fit of the model, and the AWE (Approximate Weight of Evidence) which informs on the ability to classify subjects into the various clusters. The OA characteristics that served as input for the LCA was formed by the set of x-ray scores of different features, quantitative MRI cartilage measures and various clinical scores like WOMAC and VAS from 520 subjects of the OAI progression cohort at baseline. Since OA increases in severity over time, a cluster analysis can only be meaningful when performed independent of disease severity. To accomplish this we included a severity variable into the model, such that a model fit was obtained adjusted for severity. The severity variable was obtained by performing Latent Class Factor analysis, which is similar to principle component analysis, but works for both continuous and categorical data. The same set of OA characteristics was used as input. Results: Our method resulted in 4 clusters, of which the 1st contained 47% of the subjects, the 2nd 27%, the 3rd 15% and the 4th 12% of the subjects. Clusters 1, 2 and 4 showed mainly medial cartilage degeneration, while cartilage degeneration in the 3rd cluster occurred laterally. Interestingly, clusters 3 and 4 showed a strong increase in area of denuded bone with increasing OA severity as measured on MRI, while cluster 1 did not show any denuded bone, independent of OA severity. Cluster 2 showed a very mild increase in denuded bone area with increasing OA severity. Pain scores increased with increasing severity in all clusters. Pain scores were lower in the 3rd cluster, significantly so in the VAS scores reflecting pain in the last month (p<0.05). We further examined if there were difference in the presence of risk-factors between the clusters. There were no differences in the presence of heberden's nodes or BMI. However, clusters varied with respect to reported trauma. Prevalence of trauma was lowest in cluster 1 (33%) and highest in cluster 4 (56%). Finally, using the x-ray scores at 48 months, we looked at differences in progression, characterized by the prevalence of subjects that increased in JSN scores, medially or laterally. Progression was compartment specific for the various clusters. Medial progression occurred only in clusters 1, 2 and 4, most dramatically so in cluster 4 (48%). Cluster 3 again only showed lateral progression (61%). Conclusions: We found clear differences between the various clusters. Cluster 1 could be described as a mild type of OA, with no denuded bone and limited OA progression. Cluster 3 and 4 were more severe and erosive types of OA, showing strong increases in area of denuded bone with increasing OA severity, and a high prevalence of progression. Interestingly, cluster 3 was purely a lateral type of OA, while cluster 4 was purely medial in all respects. The causes that led to differences between the clusters remain speculative. The higher prevalence of reported trauma in cluster 3 and 4, the more aggressive OA types might suggest a difference in OA initiation. We kept the complexity of the models low to reduce the risk of overfitting and increase the likelihood that our findings are generalizable to other cohorts. The fact that clusters also differed on data not included in cluster finding (trauma and progression) indicates that the found clusters are meaningful. In conclusion, latent class cluster analysis confirmed the suspected existence of distinct subtypes of knee OA." @default.
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- W2133111154 date "2012-04-01" @default.
- W2133111154 modified "2023-10-16" @default.
- W2133111154 title "Latent class cluster analysis shows four distinct subtypes of knee OA: data from the osteoarthritis initiative" @default.
- W2133111154 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joca.2012.02.272" @default.
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