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- W2134096540 abstract "This study investigates the relationship between housing prices and speculative activities in Hong Kong. We quantified the speculative activities by the ratio of the volume of confirmor transactions to total transaction volume. Our empirical results suggested that housing prices lead speculative activities, but not vice versa. Empirical evidence presented in the paper supports the hypothesis that speculative activities are induced by changes in market fundamentals (external shocks), so we reject the hypothesis that a surge in housing prices is caused by speculative activities. One implication of this is that the anti-speculative measures adopted by the Hong Kong Government in 1994 were fundamentally at fault. The results should also have implications for policymakers in other cities in China, such as Shanghai, Hangzhou, and Beijing, all of which experienced significant increases in housing prices over the last two years. Anti-speculative measures are not only ineffective in dampening surging housing prices, they are likely to lead to an unintended consequence for increasing price volatility owing to an increase in transaction costs." @default.
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- W2134096540 date "2006-01-01" @default.
- W2134096540 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W2134096540 title "An Empirical Study of the Relationship between Housing Prices and Speculative Activities in Hong Kong" @default.
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