Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2136016589> ?p ?o ?g. }
- W2136016589 endingPage "738" @default.
- W2136016589 startingPage "732" @default.
- W2136016589 abstract "Highly uncertain precipitation input greatly reduces the overall reliability of rainfall-runoff modeling for estimating stream flows, which in turn forms the basis for decisions leading towards sustainable management of water resources. Probabilistic weather forecasting using multiple numerical weather prediction (NWP) models known as ensemble prediction system (EPS), has gained popularity amongst meteorologists in recent years. However, keeping in mind the computational burden and complexities of hydrologic modeling, scientists are constrained to use a limited number of ensemble members to drive the operational river flow forecasting systems. In this paper, 12 weather ensembles of different size are evaluated for their performance in forecasting occurrence of precipitation over a wet month in a large New Zealand catchment by comparing them against point observations of the corresponding events at rain gauge stations. The authors investigate various configurations of 12-h accumulated precipitation forecasts including members from the grand global ensemble consisting of 179 member forecasts issued at eight data centers connected through the observing research and predictability experiment (THORPEX) Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) network. The ensembles are developed using four different techniques including a one-dimensional (1D) clustering approach to group the members into clusters of different sizes in order to study the impact of ensemble size on precipitation forecasting with lead time of 10 days. This approach groups the members into different clusters by minimizing the sum of square distances between the members and the cluster centre. The results indicate that there is generally little improvement in the forecast skill by increasing the ensemble size, and some smaller ensembles can reasonably replace the grand global ensemble without significantly compromising the overall quality of the probabilistic forecast for precipitation occurrence. The results further infer that the grand control ensemble (GCE) combining the control forecasts from all the centers is as good a candidate as the grand global ensemble despite being much smaller in size." @default.
- W2136016589 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2136016589 creator A5060177855 @default.
- W2136016589 creator A5068708845 @default.
- W2136016589 creator A5072299993 @default.
- W2136016589 date "2014-04-01" @default.
- W2136016589 modified "2023-10-18" @default.
- W2136016589 title "Impact of Ensemble Size on Forecasting Occurrence of Rainfall Using TIGGE Precipitation Forecasts" @default.
- W2136016589 cites W2042974036 @default.
- W2136016589 cites W2049559711 @default.
- W2136016589 cites W2073241381 @default.
- W2136016589 cites W2080545455 @default.
- W2136016589 cites W2091361900 @default.
- W2136016589 cites W2100930251 @default.
- W2136016589 cites W2109005173 @default.
- W2136016589 cites W2120933360 @default.
- W2136016589 cites W2133985945 @default.
- W2136016589 cites W2140436971 @default.
- W2136016589 cites W2158941266 @default.
- W2136016589 cites W2162345558 @default.
- W2136016589 cites W2791559636 @default.
- W2136016589 doi "https://doi.org/10.1061/(asce)he.1943-5584.0000864" @default.
- W2136016589 hasPublicationYear "2014" @default.
- W2136016589 type Work @default.
- W2136016589 sameAs 2136016589 @default.
- W2136016589 citedByCount "8" @default.
- W2136016589 countsByYear W21360165892015 @default.
- W2136016589 countsByYear W21360165892017 @default.
- W2136016589 countsByYear W21360165892020 @default.
- W2136016589 countsByYear W21360165892022 @default.
- W2136016589 countsByYear W21360165892023 @default.
- W2136016589 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W2136016589 hasAuthorship W2136016589A5060177855 @default.
- W2136016589 hasAuthorship W2136016589A5068708845 @default.
- W2136016589 hasAuthorship W2136016589A5072299993 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C107054158 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C119857082 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C119898033 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C120961793 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C122282355 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C126645576 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C140178040 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C153294291 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C153823671 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C154945302 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C170061395 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C18903297 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C197640229 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C39432304 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C49937458 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C53739315 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C58640448 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C73555534 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConcept C86803240 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C105795698 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C107054158 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C119857082 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C119898033 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C120961793 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C122282355 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C126645576 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C140178040 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C153294291 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C153823671 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C154945302 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C170061395 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C18903297 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C197640229 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C205649164 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C33923547 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C39432304 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C41008148 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C49937458 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C53739315 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C58640448 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C73555534 @default.
- W2136016589 hasConceptScore W2136016589C86803240 @default.
- W2136016589 hasIssue "4" @default.
- W2136016589 hasLocation W21360165891 @default.
- W2136016589 hasOpenAccess W2136016589 @default.
- W2136016589 hasPrimaryLocation W21360165891 @default.
- W2136016589 hasRelatedWork W2032793423 @default.
- W2136016589 hasRelatedWork W2129516708 @default.
- W2136016589 hasRelatedWork W2133281999 @default.
- W2136016589 hasRelatedWork W2144381024 @default.
- W2136016589 hasRelatedWork W2149649505 @default.
- W2136016589 hasRelatedWork W2171859864 @default.
- W2136016589 hasRelatedWork W2369066130 @default.
- W2136016589 hasRelatedWork W2991384709 @default.
- W2136016589 hasRelatedWork W3140246869 @default.
- W2136016589 hasRelatedWork W4248085828 @default.
- W2136016589 hasVolume "19" @default.
- W2136016589 isParatext "false" @default.
- W2136016589 isRetracted "false" @default.