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- W2142724545 abstract "The 500-Year flood has been proposed for a national urban flood standard (Galloway 2005). This recommendation overlooks the problems associated with estimating the 500-Year flood. The approved pdf for making these estimates in the United States is the LP III pdf. The approved methodology provides erratic and highly unreliable estimates of the 500-Year flood in several California watersheds. A case study of the American River flood estimates is presented to demonstrate the issues. A comparison of flood flow estimates for several probability distribution functions and the associated Confidence Intervals is presented. The paper finds that extrapolation of pdfs should be avoided and the use of Confidence Intervals for project formulation and levee certification should be abandoned. It is recommended to use physically based design floods rather than statistically-based design floods and/or Risk Analysis." @default.
- W2142724545 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2142724545 date "2007-05-11" @default.
- W2142724545 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
- W2142724545 title "500-Year Flood - Can It Be Reliably Estimated?" @default.
- W2142724545 cites W2040360438 @default.
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- W2142724545 doi "https://doi.org/10.1061/40927(243)399" @default.
- W2142724545 hasPublicationYear "2007" @default.
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