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- W2144572800 abstract "Traditional economic and social indicators are briefly discussed and a number of deficiencies and misuses pointed out. Significantly, many economic indicators have lost their predictive capability, and most of the social indicators have been collected outside a theoretical framework. The importance of the current collection of ecological and large-scale natural environmental indicators is stressed. It is proposed that the world ecosystem or force-field can provide more immediately powerful and convincing evidence of instability and structural change than can the intersecting world societal-field. The paper's main substantive emphasis is on the recognition of indicators within some spatiotemporal context that are emergent at the level of the dynamics of complex systems. Such indicators are no mere aggregates. The author's theoretical development of the Kondratiev cycle/structure as a macropsychological order parameter is extended. Instabilities at both the beginnings and ends of the Kondratievs are discussed. A number of new kinds of indicators related to the evolutionary phases of the Kondratiev, some considered to the “surprising,” are identified. The paper emphasizes that the US national and world economies are in the phase of depression of Kondratiev Number Four, and that the world natural environment is in a precariously metastable state. The paper concludes with an interpretation of the research that suggests some perhaps radically different directions for further study and practice." @default.
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- W2144572800 date "1994-10-01" @default.
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- W2144572800 title "The rocky path to complex-systems indicators" @default.
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- W2144572800 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/0040-1625(94)90027-2" @default.
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