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- W2147060116 abstract "Summary Background: Researchers can rely on either on retrospectively reported or on prospectively measured health changes to identify and quantify recent changes in respondents’ health status. The two methods typically do not provide the same answers. This paper compares the criterion validity of prospective versus retrospective measures of health changes by investigating their predictive power for subsequent mortality. Methods: Data are drawn from the GLOBE study, a prospective cohort study conducted in the Netherlands. We compare the ability of changes in self assessed health (SAH) - reported retrospectively and measured prospectively for 1991, 1993 and 1995 - to predict mortality until 2004. Proportional hazard models with frailty are used to model the relationships between health changes and mortality, before and after controlling for a set of pre-existing chronic conditions and the onset of new chronic diseases. Results: For a high proportion of reports (39.8 %), prospectively measured health changes in SAH do not concur with retrospectively reported health changes. Controlling for a set of chronic conditions, the onset of new chronic conditions and unobserved characteristics, prospectively reported health changes still predict longevity over and above health levels, whereas retrospective changes do not. Conclusions: We find that prospectively registered changes in SAH are better predictors of mortality than retrospectively reported health changes. These results suggest that longitudinal collection of health change information has advantages over the - easier and cheaper – option of retrospective data collection." @default.
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- W2147060116 date "2009-11-01" @default.
- W2147060116 modified "2023-09-28" @default.
- W2147060116 title "Self-perceived health and longevity: do dynamics matter?" @default.
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