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- W2148889173 abstract "The major goals of this research are to (a) study professionals engaging in dynamic, representative task conditions, (b) apply lens model theory to these conditions, (c) learn how judgments are changed in response to changing conditions, and (d) utilize a hierarchical judgment model to investigate the judgment process from perception of data to final judgment. The results indicate that (a) agreement regarding inferred cue values is modest, not because of differences in perception of proximal, directly observed cue values but because of differences in inferences drawn from them, (b) agreement in probability judgments is higher when inferred cue values are specified, (c) little change in judgments occurred over time, and (d) confidence increased over time. The results regarding agreement and accuracy over time were ambiguous." @default.
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- W2148889173 date "1991-01-01" @default.
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- W2148889173 title "Judgment in a dynamic task: Microburst forecasting" @default.
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- W2148889173 doi "https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.3960040105" @default.
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