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- W2149355539 abstract "Abstract. Starting from a number of observables in the form of time-series of meteorological elements in various areas of the northern hemisphere, a model capable of fitting past records and predicting monthly vorticity time changes in the western Mediterranean is implemented. A new powerful statistical methodology is introduced (MARS) in order to capture the non-linear dynamics of time-series representing the available 40-year history of the hemispheric circulation. The developed model is tested on a suitable independent data set. An ensemble forecast exercise is also carried out to check model stability in reference to the uncertainty of input quantities.Key words. Meteorology and atmospheric dynamics · General circulation ocean-atmosphere interactions · Synoptic-scale meteorology" @default.
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- W2149355539 date "1998-01-31" @default.
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- W2149355539 title "Non-linear modelling of monthly mean vorticity time changes: an application to the western Mediterranean" @default.
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- W2149355539 doi "https://doi.org/10.1007/s00585-997-0116-0" @default.
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