FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2152779803> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W2152779803 endingPage "163" @default.
• W2152779803 startingPage "149" @default.
• W2152779803 abstract "A study of water resources development in South Sweden revealed that water consumption unexpectedly stopped growing after construction had begun on a large project to expand water supplies. The project had a long lead time for completion, and planning had been based on traditional deterministic forecasts of future water use. To explore the implications of such an uncertain structural shift in future consumption patterns, we develop a model for determining the timing for initiating such a project. In this model, the original consumption forecast may be disrupted at some random future time by an event called a “surprise.” As in the Swedish situation, we have modeled the surprise as an unexpected stagnation in future demand growth and benefit levels. We show that this form of uncertainty makes desirable delaying the initiation of the project beyond the time optimal under the original forecast. We then extend the model to include the lead time for the project as a variable, and demonstrate that the lead time should be reduced from that optimal under a deterministic future. Finally, we incorporate the option of abandoning the project when the surprise occurs, and show that higher salvage values for the project lead to earlier optimal commitment times." @default.
• W2152779803 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W2152779803 creator A5006966210 @default.
• W2152779803 creator A5041644150 @default.
• W2152779803 creator A5088868657 @default.
• W2152779803 date "1989-02-01" @default.
• W2152779803 modified "2023-09-29" @default.
• W2152779803 title "Planning for Surprise: Water Resources Development Under Demand and Supply Uncertainty I. The General Model" @default.
• W2152779803 cites W1969076257 @default.
• W2152779803 cites W1987018473 @default.
• W2152779803 cites W2041385720 @default.
• W2152779803 cites W2117047406 @default.
• W2152779803 cites W2121224373 @default.
• W2152779803 cites W2123006213 @default.
• W2152779803 cites W2138376014 @default.
• W2152779803 cites W2299742355 @default.
• W2152779803 cites W2532917431 @default.
• W2152779803 cites W2586379495 @default.
• W2152779803 cites W2586596180 @default.
• W2152779803 cites W3016029272 @default.
• W2152779803 doi "https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.35.2.149" @default.
• W2152779803 hasPublicationYear "1989" @default.
• W2152779803 type Work @default.
• W2152779803 sameAs 2152779803 @default.
• W2152779803 citedByCount "30" @default.
• W2152779803 countsByYear W21527798032014 @default.
• W2152779803 countsByYear W21527798032016 @default.
• W2152779803 countsByYear W21527798032017 @default.
• W2152779803 countsByYear W21527798032019 @default.
• W2152779803 countsByYear W21527798032022 @default.
• W2152779803 countsByYear W21527798032023 @default.
• W2152779803 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
• W2152779803 hasAuthorship W2152779803A5006966210 @default.
• W2152779803 hasAuthorship W2152779803A5041644150 @default.
• W2152779803 hasAuthorship W2152779803A5088868657 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C114793014 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C121332964 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C127413603 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C134306372 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C144024400 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C15744967 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C162324750 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C182365436 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C21547014 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C2777093003 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C2779662365 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C2780343955 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C2781468064 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C2982944804 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C30772137 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C36289849 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C39432304 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C42475967 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C524765639 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C62520636 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConcept C77805123 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C114793014 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C121332964 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C127313418 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C127413603 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C134306372 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C144024400 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C15744967 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C162324750 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C182365436 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C21547014 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C2777093003 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C2779662365 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C2780343955 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C2781468064 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C2982944804 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C30772137 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C33923547 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C36289849 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C39432304 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C41008148 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C42475967 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C524765639 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C62520636 @default.
• W2152779803 hasConceptScore W2152779803C77805123 @default.
• W2152779803 hasIssue "2" @default.
• W2152779803 hasLocation W21527798031 @default.
• W2152779803 hasOpenAccess W2152779803 @default.
• W2152779803 hasPrimaryLocation W21527798031 @default.
• W2152779803 hasRelatedWork W2001182280 @default.
• W2152779803 hasRelatedWork W2052800015 @default.
• W2152779803 hasRelatedWork W2152779803 @default.
• W2152779803 hasRelatedWork W2502964546 @default.
• W2152779803 hasRelatedWork W2899084033 @default.
• W2152779803 hasRelatedWork W294504314 @default.
• W2152779803 hasRelatedWork W2988803498 @default.
• W2152779803 hasRelatedWork W3122113509 @default.
• W2152779803 hasRelatedWork W3128217557 @default.
• W2152779803 hasRelatedWork W4244251363 @default.
• W2152779803 hasVolume "35" @default.

• next