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• W2153361910 abstract "Although historical asset price ‘bubbles’ are often attributed to irrationality, the empirical analysis of such episodes has been limited. This paper examines a period known as the British Railway Mania, using a new dataset and a cross-sectional methodology which is unique to the study of historical asset price reversals. The results suggest that investors successfully incorporated forecasts of short-term dividend changes into their valuations, but were unable to predict longer-term changes. When short-term growth is controlled for, it appears that the railways were priced consistently with the non-railways for almost the entire episode. These findings may imply that investors had imperfect foresight, but that they acted consistently." @default.
• W2153361910 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W2153361910 creator A5017738683 @default.
• W2153361910 date "2010-06-30" @default.
• W2153361910 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
• W2153361910 title "Cross-Section of a 'Bubble': Dividends during the British Railway Mania" @default.
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• W2153361910 hasPublicationYear "2010" @default.
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