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- W2155236883 abstract "Purpose – This is a research paper aiming to re‐examine Fama's proxy hypothesis which states that inflation is negatively related to real economic activity and the negative relationship between stock returns and inflation reflects the positive impact of real variables on stock returns.Design/methodology/approach – Two issues are addressed, first if there is a relationship between the real and financial sectors and once this is established the next step is to investigate the type of relationship present. The study uses annual data covering the years 1960‐2000, on the German economy, and builds a VAR model to test the hypothesis of the negative impact of real economic activity on stock returns.Findings – The findings suggest that in Germany employment growth has a negative effect on stock returns and influences positively inflation. The rational lies in the fact that employment growth forecasts inflation which is expected to erode firm's profits. This is expressed through falling stock returns.Research limi..." @default.
- W2155236883 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2155236883 date "2006-05-01" @default.
- W2155236883 modified "2023-10-14" @default.
- W2155236883 title "Stock prices response to real economic variables: the case of Germany" @default.
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- W2155236883 doi "https://doi.org/10.1108/03074350610657454" @default.
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