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• W2155663005 abstract "We examine the role of declining mortality in explaining the rise of retirement over the course of the 20th century. We construct a model in which individuals make labor/leisure choices over their lifetimes subject to uncertainty about their dates of death. In an environment with high mortality, an individual who saves for retirement faces a high risk of dying before he can enjoy his planned leisure. In this case, the optimal plan is for people to work until they die. As mortality falls, however, it becomes optimal to plan, and save for, retirement. We analyze our model using two mathematical formulations of the survival function as well as data on actual changes in the US life table over the last century, and show that this uncertainty effect of declining mortality would have more than outweighed the horizon effect by which rising life expectancy would have led to later retirement." @default.
• W2155663005 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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• W2155663005 date "2010-02-27" @default.
• W2155663005 modified "2023-10-04" @default.
• W2155663005 title "Mortality change, the uncertainty effect, and retirement" @default.
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• W2155663005 doi "https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-010-9050-1" @default.
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