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• W2155676618 abstract "This paper proposes a general method based on a property of zero-sum two-player games to derive robust optimal monetary policy rules —the best rules among those that yield an acceptable performance in a specified range of models—when the true model is unknown and model uncertainty is viewed as uncertainty about parameters of the structural model. The method is applied to characterize robust optimal Taylor rules in a simple forward-looking macroeconomic model that can be derived from first principles. Although it is commonly believed that monetary policy should be less responsive when there is parameter uncertainty, we show that robust optimal Taylor rules prescribe in general a stronger response of the interest rate to fluctuations in inflation and the output gap than is the case in the absence of uncertainty. Thus model uncertainty does not necessarily justify a relatively small response of actual monetary policy." @default.
• W2155676618 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W2155676618 creator A5017170706 @default.
• W2155676618 date "2002-02-01" @default.
• W2155676618 modified "2023-09-29" @default.
• W2155676618 title "DOES MODEL UNCERTAINTY JUSTIFY CAUTION? ROBUST OPTIMAL MONETARY POLICY IN A FORWARD-LOOKING MODEL" @default.
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• W2155676618 doi "https://doi.org/10.1017/s1365100502027062" @default.
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